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2024-12-13 05:54:44

Of course, everything has its two sides. The disadvantages of flat economic data are obvious, so what are the benefits? Combined with the current policy environment of the whole market, everyone should be able to guess!Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.In Jun Ge's view, today's market and GEM index failed to continue the trend of last Friday, and the GEM index performed worse, which is closely related to the latest changes in news and funds.


Therefore, no matter from the news or funds, the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad in the next period, especially during the two meetings!This past weekend, Xinhua News Agency issued three articles focusing on the analysis of monetary policy, fiscal policy and the future direction of real estate policy. As one of the most important official media, Xinhua News Agency published a large number of similar articles on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference, which had to make people think more!According to the latest inflation data released by the Bureau of Statistics, in November this year, China's consumer price index rose by 0.2% year-on-year, down by 0.1% compared with October. It has been slowly weakening for four consecutive months, and it is still near the zero axis. At the same time, the PPI decreased by 2.5% in November, which was slightly higher than that in October, but it still performed poorly.


Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!In Jun Ge's view, today's market and GEM index failed to continue the trend of last Friday, and the GEM index performed worse, which is closely related to the latest changes in news and funds.

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